Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Fractals of Change: There Won’t Be Any Landlines in 2013

Fractals of Change: There Won’t Be Any Landlines in 2013

Ummm...It is called BPL - you'll have copper in the house a lot longer than 2013- cheap to install, easy to manage, infrastructure is all over and DSL will likely fall to BPL if folks can get past the idea of plugging their modems into the wall for connection and power - which isn't a big leap. Rural areas already suffer from bad cellular and frankly even major centers suffer. Almost everyone, however, has a connection to the power grid. Small infrastructure changes make it so homes could easily plug in and go. (Sprint tried something similar with the ION concept some time ago and it failed because they couldn't clean the lines up.) If the consumer does not need to make huge changes and the industry simply makes a new connection (and new revenue stream for power companies) they will make the leap to BPL. Cellular companies have no incentive to connect all of the US via cellular, the majority of the users are in cities that can they can continue to throw towers at. They will put some towers in heavily travelled areas of Montana or Iowa, but rural US - limited and small use. India has a better infrastructure than America does as their focus has been quickly put something up and they have found cells to be the easiest implementation. It is my opinon that Wi-Fi hotspots and misc junk should be thougt of as ancillary connection points not primary connection.